Discovery Accelerators: The Path to AGI Through Visible Reasoning Systems

SF Scott Farrell November 16, 2025 [email protected] LinkedIn

Discovery Accelerators: The Path to AGI Through Visible Reasoning Systems

Why the next breakthrough in artificial intelligence isn’t bigger models—it’s systems that show you the ideas they rejected

A deep dive into multi-dimensional reasoning, chess-inspired search, and the architecture that makes AI thinking defensible

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There’s a famous advertising tagline from the 1980s: “It’s the fish John West rejects that makes John West the best.” The canned tuna company understood something profound about trust—showing what you didn’t choose is as important as showing what you did.

The same principle applies to artificial intelligence. True intelligence isn’t just arriving at good answers—it’s navigating trade-offs, considering alternatives, and explaining why certain paths weren’t taken. Yet most AI tools today give you conclusions without showing the battle that produced them.

When your board asks “why didn’t we consider strategy X instead?” GPT-5 can’t answer. It doesn’t track alternatives. It doesn’t show its work. And that gap—between output quality and defensible reasoning—is what separates answer generators from thinking partners.

The LinkedIn CEO Meme Problem

If you spend time in enterprise AI circles, you’ve probably seen the meme making the rounds:

CEO: “Let’s get going with AI!”
Team: “Great! What do you want to do?”
CEO: “I don’t know, but we’ve got to do something!”

This isn’t a joke—it’s the current state of enterprise AI adoption. Organizations know they need AI capabilities, but they don’t know what they actually want to build. And when vendors walk in with pre-packaged solutions, the response is often: “I don’t know if we need that. We don’t understand how it fits.”

The problem isn’t lack of AI capability. The technology exists. The problem is lack of visible reasoning—a systematic way to explore possibilities, evaluate trade-offs, and arrive at defensible recommendations.


What’s Missing in “Deep Research” Tools

Current AI research tools are genuinely impressive. Systems like Perplexity, OpenAI’s GPT-4 with browsing, and Anthropic’s Claude can:

  • Generate comprehensive answers backed by web references
  • Summarize complex multi-document research
  • Propose recommendations based on pattern matching
  • Synthesize information across diverse sources

But they’re fundamentally one-dimensional. They give you a single narrative path from question to answer. What they don’t give you:

  • The 19 alternative approaches they explored and rejected
  • The rebuttals that killed promising but flawed ideas
  • The trade-offs between competing strategic directions
  • Multi-dimensional analysis from different stakeholder lenses (HR, Risk, Revenue, Operations)
  • A transparent record of the deliberation process

This matters because trust comes from transparency. When you can’t see what the AI considered and discarded, you’re gambling on outputs you can’t defend to skeptical stakeholders.

80%
of AI projects fail—twice the failure rate of non-AI IT projects

“By some estimates, more than 80 percent of AI projects fail—twice the rate of failure for information technology projects that do not involve AI. Understanding how to translate AI’s enormous potential into concrete results remains an urgent challenge.”
— RAND Corporation, “Root Causes of Failure for Artificial Intelligence Projects”

The failure isn’t technical capability. It’s the inability to defend AI recommendations to boards, regulators, and teams who ask hard questions about alternatives and trade-offs.


The Discovery Accelerator Architecture

What if we built AI systems that make thinking visible? Not just final answers, but the entire deliberation process—structured, curated, and defensible?

This requires a fundamentally different architecture. I call it a Discovery Accelerator—a system that rapidly explores and visibly challenges ideas, then surfaces the best moves along with the ones it rejected and why.

The Three-Layer Architecture

Layer 1: The Director AI

An orchestration layer that acts as the conductor of the entire reasoning process:

  • Frames the strategic question in machine-actionable terms
  • Seeds the search with curated base ideas and evaluation lenses
  • Coordinates multiple specialized reasoning engines
  • Curates results for human consumption (terse cards, not walls of text)
  • Adapts search parameters based on user feedback
  • Reads the “stream of consciousness” from other engines to extract meta-insights

Layer 2: The Council of Engines

Multiple specialized AI models acting as different voices in a deliberation:

  • Operations Brain: Workflow automation, efficiency gains, process improvements
  • Revenue Brain: Growth opportunities, pricing strategies, market positioning
  • Risk Brain: Compliance issues, vulnerabilities, failure modes
  • Knowledge Brain: Data utilization opportunities, information gaps, learning systems

This isn’t theoretical. Research validates the multi-model approach:

“When tested on 325 medical exam questions, the Council achieved 97%, 93%, and 90% accuracy across the three USMLE Step exams. While a single instance of GPT-4 may potentially provide incorrect answers for at least 20% of questions, a collective process of deliberation within the Council significantly improved accuracy.”
— PLOS Digital Health, “Evaluating the performance of a council of AIs on the USMLE”

Layer 3: The Chess-Style Reasoning Engine

This is where it gets genuinely novel. Instead of linear question-answer, we use a chess-inspired search algorithm that:

  • Starts with ~30 curated base ideas (the “move alphabet”)
  • Applies different evaluation lenses (HR, Risk, Revenue, Brand) as “moves” in the search tree
  • Explores hundreds of idea combinations systematically
  • Generates rebuttals and counter-arguments for each proposal
  • Prunes weak ideas through rigorous evaluation
  • Surfaces survivors with their battle scars visible
  • Produces a stream-of-consciousness narrative of the reasoning process

The magic is in the speed: ~100 nodes per minute (5-6 nodes per second). That’s slow enough to make thinking visible and capture intermediate states, but fast enough to explore vast possibility spaces in minutes instead of hours.

Why Chess Search Works for Strategic Reasoning:

Chess engines don’t evaluate every possible position—that would take longer than the age of the universe. Instead, they use heuristics, pruning, and selective deepening to explore promising paths while quickly discarding unpromising ones. The same principles apply to strategic decision-making: systematically explore combinations, evaluate trade-offs, reject dominated options, and surface robust winners.

“While GPT-3.5 achieved 48% accuracy and GPT-4 a much improved 67%, GPT-3.5 with an agentic workflow could achieve up to 95% accuracy. This demonstrates that the improvement from using an agentic workflow can dwarf the improvements from moving to a larger, more advanced foundational model alone.”
— Andrew Ng, “Agentic AI Workflows: The Transformative Rise of AI Agents”


Second-Order Thinking: AI Reading Its Own Mind

Here’s where the architecture becomes genuinely mind-bending. The chess engine doesn’t just output final recommendations—it produces a stream of consciousness.

This is a controlled narrative of ideas being proposed, strengthened, weakened, merged, and rejected during the search process. And crucially, the Director AI reads this stream and extracts meta-insights:

  • “The HR lens keeps killing high-ROI ideas—there’s a systemic tension between profitability and staff well-being”
  • “These 3 rebuttals are killer patterns that eliminate entire categories of ideas—elevate them to explicit principles”
  • “Every high-scoring move shares this structural feature—that’s a reusable pattern worth documenting”
  • “The Risk lens hasn’t influenced any decisions in this search—it may be irrelevant to this problem or badly calibrated”

This is meta-cognition—AI reasoning about its own reasoning process. Not just “what did we conclude?” but “what patterns emerged in how we thought about this problem?”

“Metacognition is the concept of reasoning about an agent’s own internal processes and was originally introduced in the field of developmental psychology. In this position paper, we examine the concept of applying metacognition to artificial intelligence. We introduce a framework for understanding metacognitive AI that we call TRAP: transparency, reasoning, adaptation, and perception.”
— arXiv, “Metacognitive AI: Framework and the Case for a Neurosymbolic Approach”

This second-order thinking unlocks capabilities that single-pass reasoning can’t achieve:

  • Pattern recognition across searches: Learning what types of ideas consistently fail or succeed
  • Adaptive lens calibration: Automatically adjusting evaluation criteria based on observed patterns
  • Proactive constraint detection: Surfacing hidden tensions before they become blockers
  • Reasoning explanation: Generating human-readable narratives of why the system reached certain conclusions

The John West Principle: Show Me What You Rejected

The interface matters as much as the architecture. Most AI tools use chat interfaces—walls of text that executives don’t want to read. We need something different.

Card-Based Idea Display

Each idea appears as an interactive card showing:

  • The proposal: Clear, terse description (fits on a card)
  • Score breakdown: How it performs across different evaluation lenses
  • Survival badge: “Beat 12 rejected alternatives” or “Survived 3 search runs”
  • Support summary: Strongest arguments in favor
  • Rebuttal summary: Best counter-arguments
  • External validation: Web research showing precedent, known risks, similar implementations
  • Interactive controls: “Push harder on HR lens”, “Explore variants”, “Show related ideas”

The Rejection Lane

A dedicated space showing discarded ideas with transparent reasons:

Example rejected ideas:

  • “Automate all customer emails with generative AI”Rejected: Too risky for brand consistency, high engineering cost, low incremental value vs. template-based automation
  • “Implement radical client pruning strategy”Rejected: Extreme revenue risk, unproven in this vertical, political impossibility with current leadership
  • “Build proprietary LLM instead of using commercial APIs”Rejected: Requires ML team you don’t have, 18+ month timeline, commodity capability

This isn’t just transparency theater. It’s epistemic hygiene—proving you didn’t cherry-pick favorable evidence, and building trust through visible deliberation.

The John West Principle in Practice

When presenting AI-generated strategy recommendations to skeptical stakeholders, showing the rejected alternatives and the reasons for rejection builds more trust than polishing the final recommendation. It demonstrates that thinking actually happened, not just pattern matching.


Grounding in Reality: AI-Guided Web Research

The chess engine doesn’t just generate ideas in a vacuum—it validates them against the real world. For each proposed move, it conducts targeted web research:

  • Searches arXiv, industry blogs, Reddit, case studies for precedent
  • Identifies similar implementations and their outcomes
  • Flags known failure modes from community experience
  • Assesses maturity: bleeding-edge experimental vs. proven best practice
  • Evaluates competitive landscape: is this differentiating or table stakes?

This means every idea card shows both internal reasoning (what our models think) and external evidence (what the world knows).

Example idea card with grounding:

“Augment sales calls with real-time AI coaching”

  • Internal score: 8.5/10
  • External signal: Lots of similar tools in market (Gong, Chorus, Wingman) → fast to ship, hard to differentiate
  • Known pitfalls: Rep fatigue, adoption resistance, privacy concerns
  • Precedent: 47 case studies found, mixed results (30% show clear ROI, 70% struggle with adoption)
  • Our verdict: Good operational win, weak strategic moat—prioritize only if fast time-to-value matters more than uniqueness

Contrast with:

“AI triage for complex multi-channel support escalations”

  • Internal score: 8.0/10
  • External signal: Few mature products, active research area → harder to build but more differentiating
  • Known pitfalls: Needs strong training data, requires continuous QA, potential for catastrophic misrouting
  • Precedent: 12 academic papers, 3 enterprise implementations (all custom-built)
  • Our verdict: Strong candidate for a flagship differentiating project—higher risk, higher reward

This is your reasoning + web research showing up as something a real human can actually reason with and defend to stakeholders.

“Retrieval augmented generation (RAG) offers a powerful approach for deploying accurate, reliable, and up-to-date generative AI in dynamic, data-rich enterprise environments. By retrieving relevant information in real time, RAG enables LLMs to generate accurate, context-aware responses without constant retraining.”
— Squirro, “RAG in 2025: Bridging Knowledge and Generative AI”


Stratified Delivery: Don’t Wait for “Answer 42”

One challenge with deep reasoning: it takes time. Multi-model councils, chess searches across hundreds of nodes, web research for validation—this isn’t instant.

In The Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy, Deep Thought computed for 7.5 million years to produce “Answer 42.” We can’t do that. But we can do something smarter: stratified time delivery.

  • 0-10 seconds (Instant feedback):
    • Quick website scan → “Looks like a B2B services firm focused on enterprise software consulting”
    • Priority sliders appear: How much do you care about HR? Risk? Revenue? Brand?
    • First-pass impressions: “Likely bottlenecks: client intake, proposal generation, knowledge retention”
  • 10-60 seconds (Early ideas):
    • Preliminary idea cards (marked “work in progress—still being tested”)
    • Live progress indicator: “Exploring 120+ idea combinations… HR lens now in play…”
    • Early rejections with interesting reasons surface
  • 1-5 minutes (Refined analysis):
    • Ideas get promoted/demoted based on deeper evaluation
    • Full scoring across all lenses appears
    • Rebuttals and counter-arguments surface
    • External validation from web research completes
  • Post-session (Comprehensive report):
    • Combined research document with all sources
    • Full reasoning trails for each surviving idea
    • Appendix of rejected alternatives with detailed explanations
    • Meta-insights from reasoning patterns

Users aren’t staring at loading spinners. They’re watching thinking evolve in real-time, with the ability to steer mid-process:

  • “Push harder on the HR lens—staff well-being is non-negotiable”
  • “I like this direction, show me variants optimized for faster deployment”
  • “This idea is politically impossible—kill anything similar”

Why AGI Requires This Architecture

The AI industry is discovering that scaling model parameters alone shows diminishing returns. The performance gap between leading models on major benchmarks has shrunk dramatically:

4-5%
Performance gap between leading frontier models despite massive compute differences

“Performance Saturation: Leading models now cluster within 4-5 percentage points on major benchmarks, indicating diminishing returns from pure capability improvements. Even with scaling laws ‘working,’ the perception of the final post-trained GPT-5, Claude 4, Gemini 2 class models can be underwhelming.”
— Nathan Lambert, Interconnects: “Scaling Realities”

The next frontier isn’t GPT-6 with 10 trillion parameters. It’s:

  • Inference-time compute scaling: Giving models more time to think during inference (OpenAI o1’s breakthrough)
  • Multi-agent orchestration: Diverse perspectives systematically reducing hallucinations and blind spots
  • Transparent reasoning: Meeting regulatory demands for explainability (EU AI Act, healthcare, finance)
  • Test-time search: Allocating compute to structured exploration, not just pattern matching
  • Meta-cognitive architectures: Systems that reason about their own reasoning

“Similar to how a human may think for a long time before responding to a difficult question, o1 uses a chain of thought when attempting to solve a problem. Through reinforcement learning, o1 learns to hone its chain of thought and refine the strategies it uses. It learns to recognize and correct its mistakes. It learns to break down tricky steps into simpler ones. It learns to try a different approach when the current one isn’t working.”
— OpenAI, “Learning to Reason with LLMs”

But here’s the critical difference: OpenAI hides o1’s raw reasoning chains. They show a summary, not the actual deliberation.

We’re proposing the opposite: make the chain of thought the product. Show the exploration. Show the rejections. Show the rebuttals. Make reasoning defensible, not just accurate.


The Enterprise Trust Crisis

Why does visible reasoning matter right now? Because enterprises are hitting a wall with AI adoption:

95%
of corporate AI initiatives show zero return on investment

“Despite $30–40 billion in enterprise investment in generative artificial intelligence, AI pilot failure is officially the norm—95% of corporate AI initiatives show zero return, according to a sobering report by MIT’s Media Lab. Most enterprise tools fail not because of the underlying models, but because they don’t adapt, don’t retain feedback and don’t fit daily workflows.”
— Forbes, “Why 95% Of AI Pilots Fail, And What Business Leaders Should Do Instead”

The bottleneck isn’t AI capability. It’s organizational trust and defensibility.

When boards, regulators, and executive teams demand accountability, they ask:

  • “Why this strategy over that one?”
  • “What alternatives did we consider?”
  • “How confident are we in this recommendation?”
  • “What are the failure modes we didn’t account for?”
  • “Who’s responsible if this goes wrong?”

Current AI tools can’t answer these questions. They don’t track alternatives. They don’t show rebuttals. They don’t expose the deliberation process. They can’t defend their reasoning.

Discovery Accelerators change that equation completely.


What This Unlocks: A Concrete Example

Imagine you’re running a strategic planning session for a mid-sized professional services firm. Traditionally, this means:

  • 8 hours in a conference room
  • Whiteboards covered with sticky notes
  • Competing perspectives that never quite reconcile
  • A consultant synthesizing everything into a deck two weeks later
  • Lingering questions about what you didn’t explore

With a Discovery Accelerator:

  1. Input (10 minutes):
    • Enter your website URL
    • Answer 5 sharp questions about constraints, priorities, and pain points
    • Optionally add internal documents
  2. Exploration (5-30 minutes):
    • Director AI frames the strategic question
    • Council of engines (Ops, Revenue, Risk, Knowledge) propose ideas from their perspectives
    • Chess search explores hundreds of combinations across evaluation lenses
    • Web research validates each idea against precedent and risks
    • You watch live cards appearing, evolving, being rejected—with the ability to steer mid-process
  3. Results (immediate):
    • 7 ideas that survived rigorous multi-dimensional challenge
    • 19 alternatives explored with clear rejection reasons
    • Rebuttals and counter-arguments for each survivor
    • External validation showing precedent, risks, and implementation examples
    • Meta-insights from reasoning patterns (e.g., “HR constraints are the dominant filter”)
    • Actionable next steps for pilot projects
  4. Defensibility (ongoing):
    • When your CFO asks “why not option X?” → you can show exactly why it was rejected
    • When legal asks about compliance risks → you can show the Risk lens analysis and rebuttals
    • When the board demands “show me alternatives” → you have a transparent record of 200+ nodes explored

That’s not incremental improvement over existing tools. That’s a different category of strategic thinking.


The Path Forward

AGI won’t emerge from GPT-6 being 3% better on MMLU benchmarks while still unable to explain its reasoning. It will emerge from systems that:

  • Show their work instead of hiding reasoning in black boxes
  • Navigate trade-offs across multiple dimensions systematically
  • Explain rejections as clearly as recommendations
  • Adapt to feedback in real-time during exploration
  • Ground ideas in external evidence, not just internal pattern matching
  • Produce meta-insights from their own reasoning patterns
  • Enable steering by non-technical stakeholders through transparent interfaces

This isn’t science fiction. The components exist today:

  • Multi-model APIs are stable and affordable (Claude, GPT-4, Gemini all accessible)
  • Agentic frameworks enable sophisticated orchestration (LangGraph, AutoGen, PydanticAI)
  • Chess algorithms have 30+ years of proven performance in structured search
  • Regulatory pressure for explainability is rising (EU AI Act, FDA guidance, financial services compliance)
  • Inference costs are dropping 100x every 2 years, making multi-pass reasoning economical
  • Card-based UIs can be built with standard web technologies

What’s missing is the architecture that makes visible reasoning the default, not an afterthought or nice-to-have feature.


The Litmus Test for AI Tools

Next time you’re evaluating an AI tool—whether it’s for research, strategy, decision support, or analysis—ask one simple question:

The Discovery Accelerator Test

“Can it show me what it didn’t recommend and why?”

If the answer is no, you’re looking at an answer generator, not a thinking partner. You’re gambling on outputs you can’t defend to stakeholders who ask hard questions.

If the answer is yes—if you can see the rejected alternatives, the rebuttals that shaped the winners, the lenses that revealed trade-offs, the external evidence that grounded ideas—then you’re looking at something fundamentally different.

You’re looking at a Discovery Accelerator.

Because intelligence isn’t just about arriving at good answers.

It’s about visibly navigating the path from questions to defensible conclusions.

And in the end, it’s not the fish AI recommends that makes AI intelligent.

It’s the fish it rejects.

About This Research

This article synthesizes findings from multiple research domains including multi-agent AI systems, metacognitive architectures, retrieval-augmented generation, chess engine algorithms, explainable AI frameworks, and enterprise AI adoption studies.

Key Sources:

  • RAND Corporation: “Root Causes of Failure for Artificial Intelligence Projects”
  • PLOS Digital Health: “Evaluating the performance of a council of AIs on the USMLE”
  • arXiv: “Metacognitive AI: Framework and the Case for a Neurosymbolic Approach”
  • OpenAI: “Learning to Reason with LLMs” (o1 model documentation)
  • Forbes / MIT Media Lab: AI pilot failure rate analysis
  • EU AI Act transparency and explainability requirements
  • Andrew Ng: Agentic AI workflow research and talks
  • Epoch AI: Model scaling analysis and diminishing returns

Contact & Discussion

The Discovery Accelerator architecture described here isn’t theoretical—it’s built and being refined through real-world applications. If you’re interested in exploring how visible reasoning systems could transform strategic decision-making in your domain, I’d welcome a conversation.

The challenge ahead isn’t building bigger models. It’s building systems that think transparently, reason defensibly, and earn trust through showing their work.

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  • https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2023/05/tree-of-thoughts-improves-ai-reasoning-and-logic-by-nine-times.html
  • https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-cloud/blog/2025/02/13/5-key-features-and-benefits-of-retrieval-augmented-generation-rag/
  • https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/data-and-policy/article/impact-of-retrieval-augmented-generation-and-large-language-model-complexity-on-undergraduate-exams-created-and-taken-by-ai-agents/498B8CB29AA37695AC5EACBE1B2089B4
  • https://arxiv.org/html/2511.06668v1
  • https://www.braintrust.dev/articles/best-rag-evaluation-tools
  • https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12551339/
  • https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11186750/
  • https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.11817
  • https://www.tryfondo.com/blog/ai-discussion-sam-altman-apec-summit
  • https://www.lean.org/the-lean-post/articles/lean-ai-journal-the-boundary-is-moving-ai-changes-what-we-expect-from-team-leaders-managers-and-executives/
  • https://www.leanix.net/en/blog/ai-agents-and-enterprise-architecture-five-key-characteristics

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